Clinical prediction system of complications among COVID-19 patients: a development and validation retrospective multicentre study

Summary

A retrospective study in Abu Dhabi, UAE, developed a machine learning-based prognostic system to predict the risk of seven complications in COVID-19 patients using data from 3,352 patient encounters. The system, trained on data from the first 24 hours of admission, achieved high accuracy (AUROC > 0.80) in predicting complications like AKI, ARDS, and elevated biomarkers in geographically split test sets. The models primarily used gradient boosting and logistic regression.