Climate-based Pre-screening of Self-sustaining Regreening Opportunities in Drylands: A Case Study for Saudi Arabia
arXiv ·
Researchers have developed a scalable pre-screening framework that integrates climate and remote sensing data to identify cost-efficient sites for sustainable dryland restoration, using Saudi Arabia as a case study. The framework employs machine learning models to derive a Climate Suitability Score (CSS), which captures climatic dependencies on vegetation persistence. National-scale prediction maps were generated using multi-year ERA5-Land data for Saudi Arabia, leading to the identification of thirteen priority locations with an estimated potential for a 2.5-fold increase in vegetation coverage. Why it matters: This approach significantly reduces the search space and costs associated with restoration efforts, supporting more resilient and sustainable ecosystem recovery planning in water-limited regions of the Middle East.